UFC Freedom 250Jun 14, 2026

Ilia Topuria vs Justin Gaethje

Lightweight3 roundsUpcoming

red cornerIT

Ilia Topuria“El Matador”

77%model win prob

blue cornerJG

Justin Gaethje“The Highlight”

23%model win prob

Go the distance

Yes32%

No68%

Method of victory

KO / TKO30%

Submission38%

Decision32%

Exact outcome

Ilia Topuria by Submission33%

Ilia Topuria by KO/TKO23%

Ilia Topuria by Decision22%

Justin Gaethje by Decision10%

Justin Gaethje by KO/TKO8%

Justin Gaethje by Submission5%