MMAStats.fyi
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado GarryAug 15, 2026

Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando

Light Heavyweight3 roundsUpcoming
red cornerRT
Rafael TobiasBipolar
45%model win prob
blue cornerLF
55%model win prob
Go the distance
Yes27%
No73%
Method of victory
KO / TKO43%
Submission30%
Decision27%
Exact outcome
Lucas Fernando by KO/TKO24%
Rafael Tobias by KO/TKO19%
Lucas Fernando by Submission17%
Lucas Fernando by Decision14%
Rafael Tobias by Submission14%
Rafael Tobias by Decision13%